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Nonprofit · EIN 92-0693558

FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Also known as FRI

Tax-exempt · CLAYMONT, DE 19703

Financials

$235K$1.4M2023$3.1M$2.3M2024$9.3M$4.4M2025
Revenue Expenses · by fiscal year end
Financials of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE by year, from its e-filed returns
Year endedFormRevenueExpensesNet incomeTotal assetsLiabilitiesNet assets
December 31, 2025990$9,328,264$4,429,518$4,898,746$10,072,595$27,699$10,044,896
December 31, 2024990$3,099,314$2,293,916$805,398$5,071,589$40,821$5,030,768
December 31, 2023990$235,026$1,435,017-$1,199,991$4,207,371$52,628$4,154,743
Financial details: 990 for the year ended December 31, 2025

Revenue

Contributions, gifts and grants
$9,263,797
Program service revenue
$0
Investment income
$64,467
Net gain from sales of assets
-$632
Other revenue
$0

Expenses

Grants and similar amounts paid
$162,038
Compensation of officers, directors and key employees
$304,917
Other salaries and wages
$1,282,080
Salaries, compensation and benefits (total)
$1,915,356
Professional fundraising fees
$0
Accounting fees
$16,050
Travel
$126,650
Program services (functional)
$3,760,500
Management and general (functional)
$636,623
Fundraising (functional)
$32,395

Balance sheet and other

Total assets, start of year
$5,071,589
Total assets, end of year
$10,072,595
Total liabilities, end of year
$27,699
Net assets, end of year
$10,044,896
Publicly traded securities
$3,133,864
Net assets without donor restrictions
$185,608
Net assets with donor restrictions
$9,859,288
Gross receipts
$12,578,896
Employees
0
Volunteers
6
Year formed
2022
State of legal domicile
DE

From the e-filed returns the IRS publishes as XML (latest three processing years; amended returns replace the original). PDF copies at the IRS.

Officers, directors and key employees

As listed on the 990 for the year ended December 31, 2025, highest compensation first.

NameTitleHours / weekCompensationOther / benefits
JOSHUA ROSENBERGCEO & TREASURER
Trustee or director, Officer
40$188,689$8,754
BRIDGET WILLIAMSSENIOR RESEARCH MANAGER
Highest-paid employee
40$136,625$8,821
EDWARD CONNACHER MURPHYRESEARCH MANAGER
Highest-paid employee
40$108,370$7,471
JORDAN CANEDYSENIOR RESEARCHER
Highest-paid employee
40$104,306$7,070
ASTRID SORFLATENHEAD OF OPERATIONS & SECRETARY
Officer
40$104,194$3,280
PHILIP TETLOCKPRESIDENT
Trustee or director, Officer
30$0$0
LYLE UNGARDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
JENNIFER LERNERDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
EVA VIVALTDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
990 for the year ended December 31, 2024: 6 people
NameTitleHours / weekCompensationOther / benefits
JOSHUA ROSENBERGCEO & TREASURER
Trustee or director, Officer
40$158,362$5,927
ASTRID SORFLATENSECRETARY
Officer
40$85,774$2,622
PHILIP TETLOCKPRESIDENT
Trustee or director, Officer
30$0$0
LYLE UNGARDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
JENNIFER LERNERDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
EVA VIVALTDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
990 for the year ended December 31, 2023: 8 people
NameTitleHours / weekCompensationOther / benefits
JOSHUA ROSENBERGCEO & TREASURER
Trustee or director, Officer
40$135,553$4,776
MICHAEL PAGECEO & TREASURER (THRU 7/2023)
Trustee or director, Officer
40$114,932$660
TEGAN MCCASLINSECRETARY (THRU 11/2023)
Officer
40$73,389$1,306
ASTRID SORFLATENSECRETARY (FROM 11/2023)
Officer
40$27,916$1,130
PHILIP TETLOCKPRESIDENT
Trustee or director, Officer
30$0$0
LYLE UNGARDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
JENNIFER LERNERDIRECTOR
Trustee or director
1$0$0
EVA VIVALTDIRECTOR (FROM 2/2023)
Trustee or director
1$0$0

Address and contacts

Address (IRS master file)
2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE B454, CLAYMONT, DE 19703-2506
Principal officer (990 for 2025)
JOSHUA ROSENBERG, 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE B454, CLAYMONT, DE 19703
Signed the 990
JOSHUA ROSENBERG, CEO & TREASURER
Phone
(302) 492-2485
Return prepared by
WEGNER CPAS LLP

Mission

IMPROVE THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING FOR THE PUBLIC GOOD.

990 for the year ended December 31, 2025

Program accomplishments

  • FRI DESIGNED AND RAN MANY SCIENTIFIC EXPERIMENTS AND EXPERT ELICITATION SURVEYS, AND PUBLISHED 8 ACADEMIC PAPERS AND TECHNICAL REPORTS ALL AVAILABLE ON FRI'S WEBSITE. RESEARCH FOCUSES INCLUDE SURVEYS OF EXPERTS BELIEFS ABOUT DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, BIOWEAPON USE, AND RISKS FROM ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE. FRI IMPROVED AND MAINTAINS A BENCHMARK OF AI PROGRESS, CALLED FORECASTBENCH, MEASURING THE ACCURACY OF AI SYSTEMS ON AUTOMATED FORECASTING TASKS. FRI ALSO LAUNCHED A LONGITUFINAL PANEL OF AI EXPERTS, A THREE-YEAR PROJECT TRACKING THE VIEWS OF LEADING COMPUTER SCIENTISTS, AI INDUSTRY PROFESSIONALS, POLICY RESEARCHERS, AND ECONOMISTS ON THE TRAJECTORY OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE.
    Expenses $3,760,500 · grants $162,038

What it must file and when

IRS records say it files Form 990 or 990-EZ. Based on its last return; a smaller organization may file the 990-N. Its accounting year ends in December, so each return is due on the 15th day of the 5th month after that.

Tax yearYear endedDueIRS public records
2025December 31, 2025May 15, 2026990 on file
2024December 31, 2024May 15, 2025990 on file
2023December 31, 2023May 15, 2024990 on file

IRS record

EIN
92-0693558
Tax-exempt status
501(c)(3): Charitable, religious, educational or scientific organization
Foundation status
Publicly supported organization (170(b)(1)(A)(vi))
Donations deductible (Pub 78)
Public charity, 50% deduction limit
Exempt since
2023
Accounting year ends
December
Files
Form 990 or 990-EZ
Assets (IRS master file)
$10,072,595
Income (IRS master file)
$12,578,896

Filing history

FormYear endedRevenueExpensesAssetsReturn
990December 2025$9,328,264$4,429,518$10,072,595XML
990December 2024$3,099,314$2,293,916$5,071,589XML
990December 2023$235,026$1,435,017$4,207,371XML
990December 2022$5,352,800$320$5,352,480IRS

990-N: the IRS publishes only the latest e-Postcard per organization; earlier years appear here as 990.tax collects the monthly files. 990, 990-EZ, 990-PF, 990-T: every e-filed return in the IRS e-file index since 2019; XML for the latest three processing years, amounts from the IRS Statistics of Income extracts before that. PDF copies and determination letters at the IRS.

Questions about FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE

What is the EIN of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE?
The employer identification number (EIN) of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE is 92-0693558.
Is FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE tax-exempt?
Yes. The IRS lists it as tax-exempt under section 501(c)(3) since 2023.
Are donations to FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE tax-deductible?
Yes. It is listed in IRS Publication 78 (Public charity, 50% deduction limit).
Which annual return does FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE file?
Form 990 or 990-EZ. Based on its last return; a smaller organization may file the 990-N.
When is the next return of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE due?
The return for tax year 2026 (the year ending December 31, 2026) is due May 17, 2027. Form 8868 extends it by six months; the 990-N cannot be extended.
When did FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE last file with the IRS?
The latest return in the IRS public files is the 990 for the year ended December 2025.
Who is the principal officer of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE?
The 990 for the year ended December 31, 2025 names JOSHUA ROSENBERG.
Who are the officers and directors of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE?
The 990 for the year ended December 31, 2025 lists 9 people; 5 received compensation from the organization, the highest $188,689 (JOSHUA ROSENBERG, CEO & TREASURER).
How much revenue does FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE have?
On its 990 for the year ended December 31, 2025 it reported revenue of $9,328,264, expenses of $4,429,518 and total assets of $10,072,595 at year end.

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