2024-11-11T12:06:51-06:00 2023-12-31 390974031 WEGNER CPAS LLP 419 N LEE ST ALEXANDRIA VA 223142301 990 2023-01-01 920693558 FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE FORE 3024922485 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE B454 CLAYMONT DE 19703 JOSHUA ROSENBERG CEO & TREASURER 3024922485 2024-11-11 1 1 GLENN MILLER CPA P00086726 7035190990 2024-11-06 2023 2024-10-15 13:58:12Z JOSHUA ROSENBERG 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE B454 CLAYMONT DE 19703 235026 0 X FORECASTINGRESEARCH.ORG X 2022 DE FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING FOR THE PUBLIC GOOD. WE DEVELOP AND TEST METHODS TO IMPROVE DECISION-MAKING THROUGH FORECASTING, FOCUSING IN PARTICULAR ON ASSISTING THOSE WHOSE DECISIONS ARE OF BROAD SOCIAL IMPORTANCE. 5 4 3 6 0 0 5352800 225000 0 0 0 10026 0 0 5352800 235026 0 0 0 0 0 520754 0 0 0 320 914263 320 1435017 5352480 -1199991 5352480 4207371 0 52628 5352480 4154743 FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING FOR THE PUBLIC GOOD. WE DEVELOP AND TEST METHODS TO IMPROVE DECISION-MAKING THROUGH FORECASTING, FOCUSING IN PARTICULAR ON ASSISTING THOSE WHOSE DECISIONS ARE OF BROAD SOCIAL IMPORTANCE. 0 0 1168251 0 0 FRI DESIGNED AND RAN DOZENS OF SCIENTIFIC EXPERIMENTS AND EXPERT ELICITATION SURVEYS FOR FUTURE PUBLICATION AS ACADEMIC PAPERS AND TECHNICAL REPORTS. RESEARCH FOCUSES INCLUDE SURVEYS OF EXPERT BELIEFS ABOUT NUCLEAR RISK AND RISKS FROM ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE. FRI ALSO DESIGNED A NEW BENCHMARK OF AI PROGRESS, MEASURING THE ACCURACY OF AI SYSTEMS ON AN AUTOMATED FORECASTING TASK. IN ADDITION TO THIS RESEARCH, FRI INCREASED IN SIZE TO 8 FULL-TIME EMPLOYEES AND MORE THAN 20 ACADEMIC, SCIENTIFIC, AND PART-TIME COLLABORATORS. 1168251 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 27 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 DE CA IL VA DC X ASTRID SORFLATEN 3024922485 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE STE B454 CLAYMONT DE 19703 JOSHUA ROSENBERG CEO & TREASURER 40.00 X X 135553 0 4776 PHILIP TETLOCK PRESIDENT 30.00 X X 0 0 0 MICHAEL PAGE CEO & TREASURER (THRU 7/2023) 40.00 X X 114932 0 660 LYLE UNGAR DIRECTOR 1.00 X 0 0 0 JENNIFER LERNER DIRECTOR 1.00 X 0 0 0 EVA VIVALT DIRECTOR (FROM 2/2023) 1.00 X 0 0 0 ASTRID SORFLATEN SECRETARY (FROM 11/2023) 40.00 X 27916 0 1130 TEGAN MCCASLIN SECRETARY (THRU 11/2023) 40.00 X 73389 0 1306 351790 0 7872 2 0 0 0 QUORUM RESEARCH LLC 647 10TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11215 FORECASTING STUDIES PLATFORM 255348 1 225000 225000 10026 10026 235026 0 0 10026 X 359662 250954 108708 97529 68051 29478 2854 1991 863 18120 12643 5477 42589 29716 12873 2700 2700 813652 771411 42241 39382 24445 14937 19639 7920 11719 26705 854 25851 8311 266 8045 3357 3357 517 517 1435017 1168251 266766 0 2667987 247749 2676400 0 0 2847 8093 136 0 3112599 0 814361 0 29679 5352480 4207371 0 52628 0 52628 X 5352480 4154743 5352480 4154743 5352480 4207371 -1199991 1934 320 0 X 0 1 X 1 0 X 5352800 225000 5577800 5352800 225000 5577800 5466043 111757 10026 10026 5587826 X RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED 0 MONEY MARKET FUNDS 814361 F 814361 688210 1934 451250 453184 235026 0 235026 1886267 451250 451250 1435017 0 1435017 FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION B, LINE 11B THE FORM 990 WAS COMPLETED BY AN OUTSIDE ACCOUNTANT. THE FORM 990 WAS THEN REVIEWED BY THE CEO & TREASURER. FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION B, LINE 12C THE ORGANIZATION REQUIRES THE BOARD TO SIGN CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENTS ANNUALLY, AND TO IMMEDIATELY DECLARE ANY CONFLICT OF INTEREST THAT ARISES DURING THE YEAR. FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION C, LINE 19 THE ORGANIZATION MAKES ITS GOVERNING DOCUMENTS, CONFLICT OF INTEREST POLICY, AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AVAILABLE ON REQUEST. FORM 990, PART IX, LINE 11G CONSULTANTS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 422,482. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 422,482. FORECASTERS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 130,461. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 130,461. RECRUITING PARTICIPANTS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 47,239. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 47,239. CONTRACTORS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 144,377. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 40,440. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 184,817. OTHER PROFESSIONAL FEES: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 26,852. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 1,801. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 28,653.