2025-11-11T11:08:28-06:00 2024-12-31 390974031 WEGNER CPAS LLP 419 N LEE ST ALEXANDRIA VA 223142301 990 2024-01-01 920693558 FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE FORE 3024922485 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE B454 CLAYMONT DE 19703 JOSHUA ROSENBERG CEO & TREASURER 3024922485 2025-11-11 1 1 ADAM KUCZYNSKI CPA P01560606 7035190990 2025-11-10 2024 2025-03-06 01:10:19Z JOSHUA ROSENBERG 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE B454 CLAYMONT DE 19703 3099314 0 X FORECASTINGRESEARCH.ORG X 2022 DE FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING FOR THE PUBLIC GOOD. WE DEVELOP AND TEST METHODS TO IMPROVE DECISION-MAKING THROUGH FORECASTING, FOCUSING IN PARTICULAR ON ASSISTING THOSE WHOSE DECISIONS ARE OF BROAD SOCIAL IMPORTANCE. 5 4 0 6 0 0 225000 3014850 0 0 10026 82784 0 1680 235026 3099314 0 30000 0 0 520754 886493 0 0 29450 914263 1377423 1435017 2293916 -1199991 805398 4207371 5071589 52628 40821 4154743 5030768 FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE'S MISSION IS TO ADVANCE THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING FOR THE PUBLIC GOOD. WE DEVELOP AND TEST METHODS TO IMPROVE DECISION-MAKING THROUGH FORECASTING, FOCUSING IN PARTICULAR ON ASSISTING THOSE WHOSE DECISIONS ARE OF BROAD SOCIAL IMPORTANCE. 0 0 1890460 30000 0 FRI DESIGNED AND RAN DOZENS OF SCIENTIFIC EXPERIMENTS AND EXPERT ELICITATION SURVEYS FOR FUTURE PUBLICATION AS ACADEMIC PAPERS AND TECHNICAL REPORTS. RESEARCH FOCUSES INCLUDE SURVEYS OF EXPERT BELIEFS ABOUT NUCLEAR RISK AND RISKS FROM ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE. FRI ALSO DESIGNED A NEW BENCHMARK OF AI PROGRESS, MEASURING THE ACCURACY OF AI SYSTEMS ON AN AUTOMATED FORECASTING TASK. IN ADDITION TO THIS RESEARCH, FRI INCREASED IN SIZE TO 8 FULL-TIME EMPLOYEES AND MORE THAN 20 ACADEMIC, SCIENTIFIC, AND PART-TIME COLLABORATORS. 1890460 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 X 86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 DE CA IL VA DC X ASTRID SORFLATEN 3024922485 2803 PHILADELPHIA PIKE STE B454 CLAYMONT DE 19703 JOSHUA ROSENBERG CEO & TREASURER 40.00 X X 158362 0 5927 PHILIP TETLOCK PRESIDENT 30.00 X X 0 0 0 LYLE UNGAR DIRECTOR 1.00 X 0 0 0 JENNIFER LERNER DIRECTOR 1.00 X 0 0 0 EVA VIVALT DIRECTOR 1.00 X 0 0 0 ASTRID SORFLATEN SECRETARY 40.00 X 85774 0 2622 244136 0 8549 1 0 1 0 QUORUM RESEARCH LLC 647 10TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11215 FORECASTING STUDIES PLATFORM 194844 1 3014850 3014850 77278 77278 5506 0 5506 5506 5506 1680 1680 1680 3099314 0 0 84464 X 30000 30000 252686 177382 66928 8376 496132 348278 131409 16445 4341 3047 1150 144 51463 36126 13631 1706 81871 57472 21685 2714 7943 7943 14940 14940 1094593 1086760 7833 90264 64734 25530 81831 53831 28000 61945 23737 38208 20242 8393 11784 65 5465 700 4765 200 200 2293916 1890460 374006 29450 247749 274831 0 149952 0 535500 2847 175 136 122019 3112599 3346674 814361 585629 29679 56809 4207371 5071589 52628 40821 52628 40821 X 4154743 2375617 0 2655151 4154743 5030768 4207371 5071589 805398 70627 0 X 0 1 X 1 0 X 5352800 225000 3014850 8592650 5352800 225000 3014850 8592650 5948051 2644599 10026 77278 87304 8679954 1680 X RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED RESTRICTED 0 MONEY MARKET FUNDS 585629 F 585629 3681413 70627 511472 582099 3099314 0 3099314 2805388 511472 511472 2293916 0 2293916 EUROPE (INCLUDING ICELAND & GREENLAND) 0 19 GENERAL BUSINESS OPERATIONS 425721 NORTH AMERICA 0 3 GENERAL BUSINESS OPERATIONS 39716 0 22 0 0 0 22 465437 0 465437 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 FEDERATION OF AMERICAN SCIENTISTS 1150 18TH ST NW STE 1000 WASHINGTON DC 20036 237185827 501(C)(3) 30000 0 GENERAL SUPPORT 1 0 PART I, LINE 2: ONCE GRANT FUNDS ARE DISBURSED, THE ORGANIZATION DOES NOT HAVE ANY PROCEDURES FOR MONITORING THE USE OF GRANT FUNDS. X X X X 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 JOSHUA ROSENBERG CEO & TREASURER 158362 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5927 0 164289 0 0 0 FORM 990, PART V, LINE 2A: FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE LEASES EMPLOYEES FROM A PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYMENT ORGANIZATION, RIPPLING PEO 1, INC. THE EMPLOYEES ARE CONSIDERED COMMON LAW EMPLOYEES OF FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE, HOWEVER, RIPPLING PEO 1, INC. IS THE EMPLOYER OF RECORD AND EMPLOYEES GET THEIR W2S FROM RIPPLING PEO 1, INC. FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION B, LINE 11B THE FORM 990 WAS COMPLETED BY AN OUTSIDE ACCOUNTANT. THE FORM 990 WAS THEN REVIEWED BY THE CEO & TREASURER. FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION B, LINE 12C THE ORGANIZATION REQUIRES THE BOARD TO SIGN CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENTS ANNUALLY, AND TO IMMEDIATELY DECLARE ANY CONFLICT OF INTEREST THAT ARISES DURING THE YEAR. FORM 990, PART VI, SECTION C, LINE 19 THE ORGANIZATION MAKES ITS GOVERNING DOCUMENTS, CONFLICT OF INTEREST POLICY, AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AVAILABLE ON REQUEST. FORM 990, PART IX, LINE 11G CONSULTANTS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 318,546. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 318,546. FORECASTERS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 501,943. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 501,943. RECRUITING PARTICIPANTS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 53,034. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 53,034. CONTRACTORS: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 213,237. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 0. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 213,237. OTHER PROFESSIONAL FEES: PROGRAM SERVICE EXPENSES 0. MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL EXPENSES 7,833. FUNDRAISING EXPENSES 0. TOTAL EXPENSES 7,833.